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Red104
524321.1
298736.0
406339.4
Blue100
62331.4
133930.1
363737.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959960708090110120130104100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#29
39.40.7
39.740.4
Auto8.9
Teleop23.5
End7.1
red by 2.3
3637
#33
37.10.3
35.135.4
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End5.9
Second
2987
#11
36.00.8
32.933.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
red by 4.6
623
#45
31.40.3
30.630.9
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Third
5243
#49
21.10.7
20.721.4
Auto8.5
Teleop9.7
End2.9
blue by 9.1
1339
#30
30.10.3
29.930.2
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned