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Red102
49451.5
505717.8
593027.1
Blue83
501230.4
293531.0
62331.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610305015010283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#9
51.51.0
47.448.5
Auto15.8
Teleop29.6
End6.1
red by 20.1
623
#45
31.41.0
31.930.9
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
5930
#47
27.11.4
21.823.1
Auto9.2
Teleop14.5
End3.3
blue by 3.9
2935
#23
31.01.0
31.830.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.6
End6.2
Third
5057
#58
17.81.2
17.118.3
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End2.6
blue by 12.6
5012
#65
30.41.0
33.832.8
Auto9.4
Teleop15.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed