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Red109
313230.2
17645.5
494530.2
Blue105
445032.9
263837.5
401317.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11699406080140160180109105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#12
45.50.1
47.547.4
Auto7.8
Teleop28.1
End9.6
red by 8.1
2638
#66
37.50.1
41.041.1
Auto9.0
Teleop24.2
End4.2
Second
3132
#25
30.20.1
30.430.3
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End4.3
blue by 2.7
4450
#60
32.90.1
41.141.2
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
Third
4945
#62
30.20.1
32.332.3
Auto9.1
Teleop18.1
End3.1
red by 12.9
4013
#75
17.30.1
16.516.6
Auto3.0
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsMissed