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Red74
587221.7
601225.5
363737.1
Blue141
449934.0
102348.7
170140.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731375010015020074141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#33
37.10.4
33.132.7
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End5.9
blue by 11.7
1023
#28
48.71.1
47.248.4
Auto10.3
Teleop28.4
End10.0
Second
6012
#70
25.50.4
29.829.4
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End3.9
blue by 14.6
1701
#22
40.11.1
42.543.6
Auto10.2
Teleop24.5
End5.4
Third
5872
#73
21.70.4
17.116.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End3.4
blue by 12.3
4499
#15
34.01.1
34.135.2
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed43%Capture oddsEarned