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Red106
429030.8
433028.4
263837.5
Blue121
617526.6
112446.9
581346.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981026080120140160106121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#66
37.50.4
40.040.4
Auto9.0
Teleop24.2
End4.2
blue by 9.4
1124
#32
46.91.5
38.840.3
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
Second
4290
#35
30.80.4
31.732.0
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End4.3
blue by 15.2
46.01.5
39.440.9
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Third
4330
#67
28.40.4
24.024.3
Auto5.6
Teleop18.6
End4.2
red by 1.8
6175
#17
26.61.7
20.522.2
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsEarned