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Qual 512016 Galileo Division
Red122
62331.4
102348.7
585530.6
Blue134
246841.9
474025.8
87043.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110110100105115120125130122134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#28
48.71.0
47.0→48.0
Auto10.3
Teleop28.4
End10.0
red by 4.9
870
#46
43.80.8
40.7→41.5
Auto10.7
Teleop23.5
End9.6
Second
623
#45
31.41.0
30.9→32.0
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
blue by 10.5
2468
#19
41.90.8
42.0→42.9
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End3.1
Third
5855
#57
30.61.0
28.9→29.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End6.7
red by 4.7
4740
#43
25.80.8
24.0→24.8
Auto6.5
Teleop14.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed