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Red146
415925.6
98756.7
616629.7
Blue99
243943.2
587221.7
440331.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121805010015020014699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#4
56.71.3
59.160.4
Auto15.9
Teleop34.1
End6.7
red by 13.5
2439
#21
43.21.0
39.540.5
Auto11.7
Teleop23.8
End7.7
Second
6166
#16
29.71.3
29.430.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.8
End4.9
blue by 2.2
4403
#55
31.81.0
28.729.7
Auto7.1
Teleop19.8
End4.9
Third
4159
#41
25.61.3
23.324.6
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.4
red by 3.9
5872
#73
21.71.0
15.916.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
27%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed