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Red99
33333.7
228327.5
406339.4
Blue80
582720.5
234131.2
119736.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1097802040601001201401609980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#29
39.40.5
40.439.9
Auto8.9
Teleop23.5
End7.1
red by 3.0
1197
#52
36.30.0
33.333.3
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End3.9
Second
333
#10
33.70.5
34.734.1
Auto11.0
Teleop19.0
End3.8
red by 2.5
2341
#63
31.20.0
29.829.7
Auto8.6
Teleop15.9
End6.7
Third
2283
#56
27.50.5
26.626.1
Auto9.5
Teleop13.8
End4.2
red by 7.0
5827
#54
20.50.0
17.717.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed