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Red142
619333.3
24539.5
36549.5
Blue67
505717.8
298736.0
250236.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116892040608010014016018014267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#3
49.52.2
40.242.4
Auto12.8
Teleop28.8
End7.9
red by 12.9
2502
#48
36.61.6
38.637.0
Auto9.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
Second
245
#20
39.52.2
37.239.4
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.2
red by 3.5
2987
#11
36.01.6
33.732.1
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
Third
6193
#42
33.32.2
31.833.9
Auto8.1
Teleop20.7
End4.5
red by 15.5
5057
#58
17.81.6
18.116.6
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
29%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed