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Red141
17645.5
115342.5
544843.2
Blue73
93229.0
378623.4
438439.6
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140875010015020014173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#12
45.50.5
47.548.0
Auto7.8
Teleop28.1
End9.6
red by 5.9
4384
#24
39.61.3
42.941.6
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End5.6
Second
5448
#44
43.20.5
40.541.1
Auto15.7
Teleop18.1
End9.4
red by 14.3
932
#59
29.01.3
27.526.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.4
End4.7
Third
1153
#13
42.50.5
40.240.7
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End5.0
red by 19.1
3786
#71
23.41.3
22.220.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
78%Capture oddsEarned17%Capture oddsMissed