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Qual 602016 Galileo Division
Red156
55852.7
27931.2
501230.4
Blue109
569029.5
494530.2
400934.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149650150200156109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#8
52.72.9
49.3→52.1
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
red by 17.9
4009
#36
34.80.9
35.3→36.1
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
Second
279
#31
31.22.9
28.2→31.1
Auto6.1
Teleop15.1
End9.9
red by 1.0
4945
#62
30.20.9
31.0→31.9
Auto9.1
Teleop18.1
End3.1
Third
5012
#65
30.42.9
30.4→33.3
Auto9.4
Teleop15.4
End5.6
red by 0.9
5690
#38
29.50.9
29.7→30.6
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed