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Red109
392629.3
581346.0
584627.8
Blue90
133930.1
601225.5
462523.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103755015010990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.6
40.941.4
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
red by 15.9
1339
#30
30.10.9
30.231.0
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End5.1
Second
3926
#72
29.30.6
28.128.6
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End5.8
red by 3.8
6012
#70
25.50.9
25.826.7
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Third
5846
#34
27.80.6
26.727.2
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End5.2
red by 4.5
4625
#74
23.30.9
21.121.9
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed