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Red94
263837.5
312829.5
503427.1
Blue136
49451.5
449934.0
6838.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9312740608014016018094136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#66
37.50.1
40.440.2
Auto9.0
Teleop24.2
End4.2
blue by 14.0
494
#9
51.50.8
48.048.9
Auto15.8
Teleop29.6
End6.1
Second
3128
#40
29.50.1
28.928.8
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End4.9
blue by 8.8
68
#26
38.30.8
35.536.4
Auto11.3
Teleop22.3
End4.8
Third
5034
#53
27.10.1
26.426.3
Auto3.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
blue by 6.9
4499
#15
34.00.8
35.035.9
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed59%Capture oddsEarned