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Red159
238336.8
17543.7
363737.1
Blue77
429030.8
234131.2
401317.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114722040608010014016018015977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#14
43.73.3
39.442.7
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
red by 12.5
2341
#63
31.20.1
29.729.8
Auto8.6
Teleop15.9
End6.7
Second
3637
#33
37.13.3
35.338.6
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End5.9
red by 6.3
4290
#35
30.80.1
32.032.1
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End4.3
Third
2383
#61
36.83.3
29.833.1
Auto13.2
Teleop18.2
End5.4
red by 19.5
4013
#75
17.30.1
14.314.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed