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Red126
87043.8
406339.4
250236.6
Blue127
120920.3
593027.1
98756.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251036080140160180200126127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#46
43.80.5
41.542.0
Auto10.7
Teleop23.5
End9.6
blue by 12.9
987
#4
56.71.6
60.462.0
Auto15.9
Teleop34.1
End6.7
Second
4063
#29
39.40.5
39.940.4
Auto8.9
Teleop23.5
End7.1
red by 12.3
5930
#47
27.11.6
23.425.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.5
End3.3
Third
2502
#48
36.60.5
37.037.5
Auto9.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
red by 16.2
1209
#51
20.31.6
19.220.8
Auto1.5
Teleop15.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsMissed