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Red79
133930.1
501230.4
587221.7
Blue89
301824.1
264236.6
290731.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82900501502002503007989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5012
#65
30.40.1
33.333.1
Auto9.4
Teleop15.4
End5.6
blue by 6.2
2642
#39
36.60.2
35.535.3
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End4.4
Second
1339
#30
30.10.1
31.030.9
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End5.1
blue by 1.5
2907
#50
31.70.2
30.230.1
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6
Third
5872
#73
21.70.1
16.916.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End3.4
blue by 2.4
3018
#64
24.10.2
20.720.5
Auto10.0
Teleop10.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed