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Qual 682016 Galileo Division
Red114
112446.9
585530.6
619333.3
Blue124
503427.1
494530.2
49451.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091100200300400500114124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1124
#32
46.90.5
42.7→43.2
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
blue by 4.6
494
#9
51.51.1
48.9→50.0
Auto15.8
Teleop29.6
End6.1
Second
6193
#42
33.30.5
33.9→34.4
Auto8.1
Teleop20.7
End4.5
red by 3.1
4945
#62
30.21.1
31.9→33.0
Auto9.1
Teleop18.1
End3.1
Third
5855
#57
30.60.5
29.9→30.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End6.7
red by 3.5
5034
#53
27.11.1
26.3→27.4
Auto3.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsEarned