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Red95
433028.4
119736.3
53821.5
Blue138
368349.0
312829.5
250236.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7712305010015020095138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
#52
36.30.6
34.334.9
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End3.9
blue by 12.7
49.01.7
46.848.5
Auto11.3
Teleop25.6
End12.1
Second
4330
#67
28.40.6
26.827.3
Auto5.6
Teleop18.6
End4.2
blue by 8.2
2502
#48
36.61.7
37.539.2
Auto9.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
Third
538
#69
21.50.6
20.421.0
Auto6.4
Teleop12.2
End2.9
blue by 8.0
3128
#40
29.51.7
28.430.1
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed15%Capture oddsEarned