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Red67
6838.3
415925.6
582720.5
Blue120
34149.4
585530.6
170140.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8012405010015020067120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#26
38.31.1
37.736.6
Auto11.3
Teleop22.3
End4.8
blue by 11.0
341
#6
49.40.4
46.446.8
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End10.8
Second
4159
#41
25.61.1
25.624.5
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.4
blue by 14.5
1701
#22
40.10.4
37.037.4
Auto10.2
Teleop24.5
End5.4
Third
5827
#54
20.51.1
20.419.3
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End3.5
blue by 10.1
5855
#57
30.60.4
30.430.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsMissed94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsMissed39%Capture oddsEarned