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Red91
290731.7
462523.3
438439.6
Blue102
474025.8
33333.7
27931.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1009305015020091102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#24
39.60.3
42.442.1
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End5.6
red by 5.9
333
#10
33.70.7
34.134.8
Auto11.0
Teleop19.0
End3.8
Second
2907
#50
31.70.3
30.129.8
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6
red by 0.5
279
#31
31.20.7
32.132.8
Auto6.1
Teleop15.1
End9.9
Third
4625
#74
23.30.3
23.323.0
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
blue by 2.5
4740
#43
25.80.7
24.725.5
Auto6.5
Teleop14.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
23%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed