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Red134
55852.7
24539.5
313230.2
Blue111
440331.8
49451.5
228327.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12910550150200134111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#8
52.70.8
53.053.8
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
red by 1.2
494
#9
51.50.4
50.050.3
Auto15.8
Teleop29.6
End6.1
Second
245
#20
39.50.8
40.741.5
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.2
red by 7.6
4403
#55
31.80.4
28.929.2
Auto7.1
Teleop19.8
End4.9
Third
3132
#25
30.20.8
28.429.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End4.3
red by 2.8
2283
#56
27.50.4
26.827.2
Auto9.5
Teleop13.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed