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Red91
445032.9
501230.4
312829.5
Blue122
581346.0
378623.4
298736.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001026070809011012013014091122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#60
32.90.4
34.133.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
blue by 13.1
46.01.2
41.642.8
Auto9.3
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Second
5012
#65
30.40.4
32.832.4
Auto9.4
Teleop15.4
End5.6
blue by 5.6
2987
#11
36.01.2
34.135.3
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
Third
3128
#40
29.50.4
30.129.7
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End4.9
red by 6.1
3786
#71
23.41.2
22.924.1
Auto8.2
Teleop12.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsEarned