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Red116
17645.5
8828.6
106538.1
Blue77
500631.9
585530.6
433028.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125855010015020011677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#12
45.50.6
46.846.2
Auto7.8
Teleop28.1
End9.6
red by 13.6
5006
#18
31.91.1
30.028.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End4.9
Second
1065
#27
38.10.6
38.838.2
Auto9.0
Teleop23.7
End5.5
red by 7.5
5855
#57
30.61.1
30.829.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.0
End6.7
Third
88
#68
28.60.6
29.729.0
Auto7.1
Teleop18.1
End3.4
red by 0.2
4330
#67
28.41.1
27.326.3
Auto5.6
Teleop18.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
31%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed