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Red90
582720.5
452530.0
293531.0
Blue83
524321.1
438439.6
474025.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80960501509083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#23
31.00.3
30.530.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.6
End6.2
blue by 8.6
4384
#24
39.60.5
42.141.6
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End5.6
Second
4525
#37
30.00.3
30.330.6
Auto7.4
Teleop17.6
End5.0
red by 4.1
4740
#43
25.80.5
25.524.9
Auto6.5
Teleop14.6
End4.8
Third
5827
#54
20.50.3
19.319.7
Auto6.6
Teleop10.4
End3.5
blue by 0.6
5243
#49
21.10.5
23.523.0
Auto8.5
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed