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Red90
601225.5
24539.5
17543.7
Blue137
112446.9
313230.2
406339.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11512040608010014016018020090137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#14
43.71.5
44.442.9
Auto9.5
Teleop24.5
End9.7
blue by 3.2
1124
#32
46.90.7
46.046.7
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
Second
245
#20
39.51.5
41.540.0
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End3.2
red by 0.1
4063
#29
39.40.7
40.641.3
Auto8.9
Teleop23.5
End7.1
Third
6012
#70
25.51.5
26.725.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End3.9
blue by 4.8
3132
#25
30.20.7
29.230.0
Auto9.5
Teleop16.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsMissed99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
30%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsEarned