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Red121
363737.1
569029.5
243943.2
Blue99
462523.3
263837.5
53821.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114815010015020012199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2439
#21
43.21.0
40.241.2
Auto11.7
Teleop23.8
End7.7
red by 5.7
2638
#66
37.50.1
39.239.3
Auto9.0
Teleop24.2
End4.2
Second
3637
#33
37.11.0
38.139.1
Auto11.7
Teleop19.5
End5.9
red by 13.7
4625
#74
23.30.1
23.023.0
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Third
5690
#38
29.51.0
27.628.6
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End6.3
red by 8.0
538
#69
21.50.1
21.021.0
Auto6.4
Teleop12.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed