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Red121
87043.8
234131.2
115342.5
Blue152
353942.4
36549.5
584627.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11612080100140160180121152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#46
43.80.2
41.942.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.5
End9.6
blue by 5.7
365
#3
49.51.4
46.547.9
Auto12.8
Teleop28.8
End7.9
Second
1153
#13
42.50.2
39.740.0
Auto11.0
Teleop26.5
End5.0
red by 0.1
42.41.4
43.344.7
Auto9.3
Teleop29.0
End4.1
Third
2341
#63
31.20.2
31.231.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.9
End6.7
red by 3.4
5846
#34
27.81.4
26.427.8
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsEarned