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Red105
617526.6
301824.1
119736.3
Blue71
401317.3
440331.8
505717.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86620204010012014010571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
#52
36.31.7
34.936.5
Auto10.7
Teleop21.8
End3.9
red by 4.5
4403
#55
31.80.2
29.229.4
Auto7.1
Teleop19.8
End4.9
Second
6175
#17
26.61.7
23.224.9
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End4.3
red by 8.8
5057
#58
17.80.2
17.217.4
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Third
3018
#64
24.11.7
21.823.5
Auto10.0
Teleop10.1
End4.0
red by 6.8
4013
#75
17.30.2
17.117.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed