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Qual 982016 Galileo Division
Red106
228327.5
544843.2
392629.3
Blue107
616629.7
400934.8
6838.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710750150106107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5448
#44
43.20.7
40.6→41.2
Auto15.7
Teleop18.1
End9.4
red by 4.9
68
#26
38.30.3
36.6→36.9
Auto11.3
Teleop22.3
End4.8
Second
3926
#72
29.30.7
28.0→28.7
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End5.8
blue by 5.5
4009
#36
34.80.3
35.5→35.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
Third
2283
#56
27.50.7
27.2→27.9
Auto9.5
Teleop13.8
End4.2
blue by 2.2
6166
#16
29.70.3
30.4→30.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed