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Red117
120920.3
246841.9
290731.7
Blue98
494530.2
170140.1
93229.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9410005015020011798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#19
41.91.3
41.442.7
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End3.1
red by 1.8
1701
#22
40.10.1
37.437.5
Auto10.2
Teleop24.5
End5.4
Second
2907
#50
31.71.3
29.831.1
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End4.6
red by 1.4
4945
#62
30.20.1
31.731.8
Auto9.1
Teleop18.1
End3.1
Third
1209
#51
20.31.3
21.122.4
Auto1.5
Teleop15.5
End3.3
blue by 8.6
932
#59
29.00.1
27.527.6
Auto6.8
Teleop17.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
23%Capture oddsEarned30%Capture oddsMissed