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Qual 102016 HAVOC
Red103
164037.3
70843.6
2016B16.2
Blue107
86947.4
81619.3
260734.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99105050150200250300350103107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
Unranked
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End12.0
blue by 3.8
869
Unranked
47.40.0
47.447.4
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
Second
1640
Unranked
37.30.0
37.337.3
Auto8.3
Teleop23.7
End5.3
red by 3.1
2607
Unranked
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
Third
2016B
Unranked
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto2.6
Teleop11.3
End2.3
blue by 3.1
816
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds59%Breach odds
Capture
49%Capture odds8%Capture odds