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Qual 112016 HAVOC
Red77
140332.4
869B23.7
260734.2
Blue15
259051.9
518127.8
42326.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891120501502002503007715

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
Unranked
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End4.7
blue by 17.7
2590
Unranked
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto12.2
Teleop32.6
End7.1
Second
1403
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto6.8
Teleop19.4
End6.2
red by 4.6
5181
Unranked
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto9.4
Teleop13.5
End4.9
Third
869B
Unranked
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End6.5
blue by 2.6
423
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
38%Capture odds49%Capture odds