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Red79
88529.0
151951.9
41820.8
Blue201
568743.9
456450.8
360922.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124143608010016018020079201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.6
52.351.6
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
red by 1.1
50.80.9
50.050.9
Auto11.1
Teleop28.1
End11.7
Second
885
#10
29.00.6
29.328.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.3
End5.8
blue by 14.9
43.90.9
43.144.0
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
Third
418
#21
20.80.6
21.120.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.4
End4.1
blue by 1.8
3609
#16
22.60.9
21.822.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End4.9