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Red134
88529.0
151951.9
41820.8
Blue138
568743.9
456450.8
360922.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12114750100200134138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.3
51.651.9
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
red by 1.1
50.80.1
50.950.8
Auto11.1
Teleop28.1
End11.7
Second
885
#10
29.00.3
28.729.0
Auto9.9
Teleop13.3
End5.8
blue by 14.9
43.90.1
44.043.9
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
Third
418
#21
20.80.3
20.520.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.4
End4.1
blue by 1.8
3609
#16
22.60.1
22.722.6
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End4.9