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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Summer Heat
Red201
568743.9
456450.8
360922.6
Blue161
13357.9
512229.4
217528.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341410100200300400500201161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#4
50.80.9
48.4→49.3
Auto11.1
Teleop28.1
End11.7
blue by 7.1
133
#11
57.92.0
55.9→57.9
Auto14.8
Teleop31.7
End11.4
Second
5687
#6
43.90.9
41.5→42.4
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
red by 14.5
5122
#9
29.40.2
29.1→29.4
Auto8.7
Teleop15.5
End5.2
Third
3609
#16
22.60.9
20.2→21.1
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End4.9
blue by 5.7
2175
#18
28.20.2
28.0→28.2
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End4.5