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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Summer Heat
Red154
568743.9
456450.8
360922.6
Blue149
13357.9
512229.4
217528.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137135100110120130140150160154149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#4
50.80.2
48.2→48.4
Auto11.1
Teleop28.1
End11.7
blue by 7.1
133
#11
57.90.4
55.6→55.9
Auto14.8
Teleop31.7
End11.4
Second
5687
#6
43.90.2
41.3→41.5
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
red by 14.5
5122
#9
29.40.4
28.8→29.1
Auto8.7
Teleop15.5
End5.2
Third
3609
#16
22.60.2
20.0→20.2
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End4.9
blue by 5.7
2175
#18
28.20.4
27.6→28.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End4.5