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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Summer Heat
Red147
176842.8
405537.8
35858.9
Blue67
545920.9
617224.6
27119.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112795010015014767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#5
42.80.7
41.7→42.4
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End11.5
red by 18.2
6172
#12
24.60.2
24.8→24.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
Second
4055
#3
37.80.7
36.6→37.3
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End7.5
red by 17.0
5459
#15
20.90.2
21.0→20.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End4.4
Third
3585
#22
8.90.7
7.7→8.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End-0.5
blue by 10.8
271
#17
19.60.2
19.8→19.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End5.0