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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Summer Heat
Red154
176842.8
405537.8
35858.9
Blue44
545920.9
617224.6
27119.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078205015015444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.81.1
40.541.7
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End11.5
red by 18.2
6172
#12
24.60.5
25.324.8
Auto8.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
Second
37.81.1
35.536.6
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End7.5
red by 17.0
5459
#15
20.90.5
21.621.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End4.4
Third
3585
#22
8.91.1
6.57.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End-0.5
blue by 10.8
271
#17
19.60.5
20.319.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End5.0