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Semifinal 2-22016 Summer Heat
Red135
176842.8
405537.8
35858.9
Blue144
568743.9
456450.8
360922.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10214750200135144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#5
42.80.6
42.2→42.8
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End11.5
blue by 8.0
4564
#4
50.80.2
49.9→50.1
Auto11.1
Teleop28.1
End11.7
Second
4055
#3
37.80.6
37.2→37.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End7.5
blue by 6.1
5687
#6
43.90.2
43.0→43.2
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
Third
3585
#22
8.90.6
8.3→8.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End-0.5
blue by 13.7
3609
#16
22.60.2
21.7→21.9
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End4.9