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Qual 132016 Summer Heat
Red101
345116.6
568743.9
176842.8
Blue109
31940.9
35858.9
264838.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11184050100150200101109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#6
43.90.8
41.3→40.5
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
red by 3.0
319
#1
40.90.9
39.6→40.5
Auto9.5
Teleop25.1
End6.3
Second
1768
#5
42.80.8
41.8→41.0
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End11.5
red by 4.7
2648
#13
38.20.9
38.7→39.5
Auto8.9
Teleop24.5
End4.8
Third
3451
#24
16.60.8
20.5→19.6
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5
red by 7.7
3585
#22
8.90.9
7.7→8.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsMissed30%Capture oddsMissed