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Qual 122016 Summer Heat
Red75
360922.6
617224.6
545920.9
Blue97
8532.2
405537.8
5821.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611080501502007597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6172
#12
24.60.2
25.8→26.1
Auto8.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
blue by 13.2
4055
#3
37.80.7
38.0→37.4
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End7.5
Second
3609
#16
22.60.2
18.5→18.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End4.9
blue by 9.7
85
#7
32.20.7
36.2→35.6
Auto5.2
Teleop23.6
End3.4
Third
5459
#15
20.90.2
21.9→22.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End4.4
blue by 0.6
58
#14
21.40.7
23.0→22.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed33%Capture oddsMissed