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Qual 112016 Summer Heat
Red95
393123.5
31940.9
88529.0
Blue51
17228.9
217528.2
27119.6
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97930204060801201401609551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
40.90.1
39.5→39.6
Auto9.5
Teleop25.1
End6.3
red by 12.0
172
#20
28.92.7
33.3→30.6
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End4.2
Second
885
#10
29.00.1
28.9→29.0
Auto9.9
Teleop13.3
End5.8
red by 0.7
2175
#18
28.22.7
33.4→30.8
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End4.5
Third
3931
#19
23.50.1
25.0→25.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End4.3
red by 3.8
271
#17
19.62.7
24.2→21.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsMissed