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Qual 102016 Summer Heat
Red73
393027.8
176842.8
35858.9
Blue110
264838.2
13135.4
41820.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810205015020073110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#5
42.80.8
42.6→41.8
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End11.5
red by 4.7
2648
#13
38.20.9
37.8→38.7
Auto8.9
Teleop24.5
End4.8
Second
3930
#23
27.80.8
28.9→28.1
Auto8.9
Teleop15.8
End3.0
blue by 7.7
131
#2
35.40.9
35.6→36.5
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End9.5
Third
3585
#22
8.90.8
8.5→7.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End-0.5
blue by 11.9
418
#21
20.80.9
23.1→24.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed