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Qual 92016 Summer Heat
Red151
568743.9
13357.9
456450.8
Blue109
345116.6
512229.4
151951.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159100050200250151109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#11
57.90.4
56.0→56.4
Auto14.8
Teleop31.7
End11.4
red by 6.0
1519
#8
51.91.1
54.5→53.4
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
Second
4564
#4
50.80.4
48.5→48.8
Auto11.1
Teleop28.1
End11.7
red by 21.4
5122
#9
29.41.1
29.4→28.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.5
End5.2
Third
5687
#6
43.90.4
40.9→41.3
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
red by 27.3
3451
#24
16.61.1
21.6→20.5
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
69%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsMissed