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Qual 82016 Summer Heat
Red61
5821.4
13135.4
17228.9
Blue35
217528.2
545920.9
35858.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110660501001506135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#2
35.43.0
38.6→35.6
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End9.5
red by 7.2
2175
#18
28.22.4
35.8→33.4
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End4.5
Second
172
#20
28.93.0
36.3→33.3
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End4.2
red by 8.0
5459
#15
20.92.4
24.3→21.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End4.4
Third
58
#14
21.43.0
25.9→23.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End4.2
red by 12.6
3585
#22
8.92.4
10.9→8.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsMissed72%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed