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Qual 72016 Summer Heat
Red109
264838.2
27119.6
13357.9
Blue114
88529.0
617224.6
568743.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13389050100150200109114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#11
57.91.8
57.8→56.0
Auto14.8
Teleop31.7
End11.4
red by 14.0
5687
#6
43.91.1
39.8→40.9
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
Second
2648
#13
38.21.6
39.4→37.8
Auto8.9
Teleop24.5
End4.8
red by 9.2
885
#10
29.01.1
27.7→28.9
Auto9.9
Teleop13.3
End5.8
Third
271
#17
19.61.6
25.8→24.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End5.0
blue by 5.0
6172
#12
24.61.1
24.7→25.8
Auto8.4
Teleop13.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsMissed95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
27%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed