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Qual 62016 Summer Heat
Red74
345116.6
41820.8
456450.8
Blue101
360922.6
8532.2
31940.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010705015020074101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4564
#4
50.82.9
51.3→48.5
Auto11.1
Teleop28.1
End11.7
red by 10.0
319
#1
40.90.6
42.1→41.5
Auto9.5
Teleop25.1
End6.3
Second
418
#21
20.82.9
31.2→28.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.4
End4.1
blue by 11.5
85
#7
32.20.6
42.1→41.5
Auto5.2
Teleop23.6
End3.4
Third
3451
#24
16.62.9
24.4→21.6
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5
blue by 6.0
3609
#16
22.60.6
21.0→20.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsMissed92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsMissed49%Capture oddsMissed