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Qual 52016 Summer Heat
Red84
393123.5
151951.9
393027.8
Blue102
512229.4
405537.8
176842.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291185010015020025084102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#8
51.92.6
59.1→56.5
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
red by 9.1
1768
#5
42.80.9
46.2→45.3
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End11.5
Second
3930
#23
27.82.6
31.3→28.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.8
End3.0
blue by 10.0
4055
#3
37.80.9
37.6→36.6
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End7.5
Third
3931
#19
23.52.6
32.9→30.3
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End4.3
blue by 5.9
5122
#9
29.40.9
32.2→31.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsMissed92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsMissed48%Capture oddsMissed