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Qual 162016 Summer Heat
Red68
405537.8
17228.9
41820.8
Blue104
512229.4
13357.9
5821.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9111605015020068104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#3
37.81.6
37.4→35.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End7.5
blue by 20.1
133
#11
57.91.2
56.4→57.6
Auto14.8
Teleop31.7
End11.4
Second
172
#20
28.91.6
30.6→29.0
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End4.2
blue by 0.5
5122
#9
29.40.3
28.3→28.0
Auto8.7
Teleop15.5
End5.2
Third
418
#21
20.81.6
24.0→22.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.4
End4.1
blue by 0.7
58
#14
21.40.3
22.3→22.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
25%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsMissed