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Qual 172016 Summer Heat
Red49
393123.5
345116.6
217528.2
Blue108
176842.8
545920.9
151951.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6812805010015020049108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#18
28.21.7
29.3→27.6
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End4.5
blue by 23.7
1519
#8
51.90.5
52.0→51.5
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
Second
3931
#19
23.51.7
25.6→23.9
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End4.3
blue by 19.4
1768
#5
42.80.5
41.0→40.5
Auto13.2
Teleop18.1
End11.5
Third
3451
#24
16.61.7
19.6→17.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5
blue by 4.3
5459
#15
20.90.5
22.0→21.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsMissed